Serious auto crashes in urban areas are more likely on city streets that look to drivers like highways, new research suggests.
The study used a novel approach: Ohio State University researchers applied machine learning techniques to analyze more than 240,000 images of road segments in Columbus, Ohio, taken from google street view.
The goal was to see what the roads looked like to drivers and whether that was linked to serious and deadly crashes.
Findings showed street segments that were classified as “open roads” – those where the photos showed more visible sky, more roadway and more signs – had 48% more crashes that caused injury or death than those classified as “open residential.”
The open road classification included almost all of the highway segments in Columbus (93%), but it also included more than half of the city’s arterial road segments (59%) – the major high-capacity roads through the city.
“There are a lot of roads in urban areas that aren’t highways but look like high-speed highways from the driver’s point of view,” said Jonathan Stilesnow at Florida Atlantic University, who led this work as a postdoctoral researcher in geography at Ohio State.
“That’s a problem because drivers behave as if those streets are highways, even though there may be a lot of pedestrians and human activity nearby.”
The study was published May 11, 2022 in the journal Environment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science. Other co-authors were Harvey Millerteacher, and yuchen ligraduate student, both in geography at Ohio State.
These dangerous “open roads” are familiar to anyone who has driven through urban areas, said Miller, who is director of Ohio State’s Center for Urban and Regional Analysis.
They generally have multiple lanes of traffic, lots of road signs and few trees, and are lined with strip malls, big-box stores, gas stations and restaurants.
“To drivers, the road appears safe for driving at high speeds. We’re combining a lot of complexity and human activity with the desire to move cars as quickly as possible. It is a dangerous combination,” Miller said.
After collecting the 241,179 street view images of road segments in Columbus, the researchers used a machine learning model to segment each photo into visual objects. The model was able to tell how much of each photo showed sky, roadway, signs, buildings, trees and other objects. Sky was the most common element of the photos, covering 27.8% of the images, followed by road (24.6%) and trees (17.9%).
A computer “cluster analysis” identified four types of streets in Columbus from the photos. “Leafy residential” had more trees and narrower roads, while “open residential” had comparatively more sky and road alongside houses.
“Built-up urban” described areas like downtown, with relatively more buildings, sidewalks and cars. “Open road” had more sky, roadway and signage relative to other road types.
The researchers then looked at crash data for each of these road segments from 2018 and 2019. They examined only the 7,359 crashes that resulted in injuries or fatalities.
The leafy residential group had 12.4% fewer crashes than open residential, while the built-up urban had 21.7% more serious and fatal crashes.
But it was the open road cluster that had the highest correlation with serious and fatal crashes, with 48% more than the open residential.
Miller emphasized that this association between serious crashes and road type was found even after taking into account a variety of other factors that can affect the number of crashes, including official state road designations for each segment that are related to speed limits and traffic volume.
The study also found that two objects in particular found in the photos had significant links to the number of crashes on each road segment: trash cans and signage.
The more trash cans visible in photos, the fewer serious crashes that were recorded on that road segment. More signage in the photos, however, was linked to more crashes.
“More signage along a road suggests more complexity for drivers to deal with, so it makes sense that it is associated with more crashes,” Stiles said.
“More trash cans along the road may signal to drivers that they are in a residential area with more people around, which may lead to more careful driving and fewer crashes.”
The findings in this study support the theory of self-explaining roads, which suggests drivers’ expectations and behaviors are shaped by road design features, Miller said.
“The idea is that people don’t really pay attention to the posted speed limits. What they do is pay attention to how fast the road is telling them it is safe to drive,” he said.
“Our results suggest that many urban roads tell people it is safe to drive fast when it really is not – and the result is more serious and fatal crashes.”
An important implication of the findings is that traffic engineers need to rethink how they design urban roads, the authors said.
“We’re thinking about urban roads wrong in some ways,” Stiles said. “We are encouraging people to drive fast in areas with a lot of people and complexity.”
One solution would be to narrow some of the more dangerous roads, while adding more nearby greenery, buildings and sidewalks.
“A loss of vehicle capacity and speeds on such roads may be concerning to some, but this should be weighed against the numerous injuries and deaths these roads lead to in busy areas,” Miller said.
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